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Super Tuesday open thread

Joe Biden: Does anyone really think this weirdo dingus can beat Trump

By David Futrelle

Big day. Big big day. Lots of shit going on. Discuss.

Also: VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!1!

I mean, if you’re in the US. If you’re not in the US, I guess don’t vote, unless maybe you’re a citizen abroad but I don’t know how the mechanics of that work exactly.

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Alan Robertshaw
Alan Robertshaw
4 years ago

@ Jenora

The lesson for wars of 1812 is, if you want to be remembered, you need a good overture.

Alan Robertshaw
Alan Robertshaw
4 years ago

@ Diego

she would attack him day and night on this little nuggest of info alone.

Warren may be thinking of how much capital the right made out of HRC’s ‘deplorables’ comment. If she attacks Jo Rogan; she implicitly criticises his fan base. She then spends the election campaign fending off questions from the media having to explain why she doesn’t hate ‘ordinary’ Americans.

So whilst people may criticise her silence, there’s, less political flak from an omission rather than an act if you get my drift.

Aaron
Aaron
4 years ago

Just got home from my local polling center, where I was proud to vote for Sanders.

I apologize if I came across as overly dismissive of Warren earlier. She is a very good candidate, and everyone should vote for the person they want to see in the White House.

Anyway, congratulations to everyone who voted, whether for Sanders, Warren, Biden, Bloomberg, or even Gabbard.

Specialffrog
Specialffrog
4 years ago

@Betrayer: please explain how Warren can’t win given the low percentage of delegates thus far awarded. Clearly in a few hours the picture could be different but without Super Tuesday results how are you drawing that conclusion?

Alan Robertshaw
Alan Robertshaw
4 years ago

@ specialfrog

Do you know what happens with delegates from candidates who drop out? Do they go to the person they endorse; like a de facto STV system; or are they just gone forever?

Tovius
Tovius
4 years ago

@Specialffrog
It’s probably based on the currently available polling data, which unfortunately doesn’t bode well for Warren. This has left me in a rough spot, as Warren is my first choice. I’ll still vote for her, but my hopes are not high right now.

@Alan Robertsha
In general, they are required to vote for the candidate that dropped out on the first ballot at the convention, and are free to vote for whoever on later ballots, if it comes to that. There are ways for delegates (at least in some states) to be released or transferred for the first ballot, but the rules differ drastically by state, and I’m not very familiar with them.

Alan Robertshaw
Alan Robertshaw
4 years ago

Bit O/T; but could someone at around 9:30am and 7:00pm UK time say “You’re cat sitting!”

weirwoodtreehugger: chief manatee

Betrayer,

The only reason people say she can’t win is because people say she can’t win. It’s a self fulfilling prophecy. By the delegate math, there was no reason to drop out before super Tuesday.

And I don’t need your permission to vote for her, thanks.

Nina
Nina
4 years ago

@Ohlmann

Sure, Bloomberg is better than Trump, mostly because at that point, Hitler would be better than Trump (more consistent and more likely to care about the survival of at least part of its country).

Please don’t. Trump is utterly despiccable and a fascist, but to say that Hitler was better is an insult to the millions who were murdered by the Nazis.

Alan Robertshaw
Alan Robertshaw
4 years ago

@ tovius

RIght. So so long as no candidate wins on first round it is sort of STV.

So doesn’t that mean it’s alway worth voting for your preferred candidate anyway, regardless of what people say of their chances? If the polls are wrong they win; and if they lose then you haven’t really wasted anything, so long as you trust who they would endorse?

Naglfar
Naglfar
4 years ago

@WWTH

The only reason people say she can’t win is because people say she can’t win. It’s a self fulfilling prophecy.

This. I find it very annoying when exit poll data gets out and that influences who later people vote for. This isn’t the first time this has happened, one would hope eventually people would understand.

@Alan Robertshaw

so long as you trust who they would endorse?

That’s the issue. Most delegates for dropped candidates like Buttigieg will probably transfer to people like Biden. So I don’t really trust who they would endorse.

Moggie
Moggie
4 years ago

@Robert:

Sinkable John – Kurt Vonnegut once described the first stanza of the Star-Spangled Banner as ‘gibberish liberally sprinkled with question marks’.

It’s a shit anthem. I’d like to see it replaced by Laurie Anderson’s “O Superman”.

Perry
Perry
4 years ago

The reality of modern America is that a lot of people hold bigoted views, be they transphobic, fatphobic, etc. Joe Rogan has an amazing reach among politically alienated young men, the votes of whom (alongside alienated young women) will be crucial to winning this election. I will absolutely make a strategic alliance with Joe Rogan for the purposes of electing a candidate with a substantive pro-trans stance and record of fighting for LGBTQ rights.

Dreamer
Dreamer
4 years ago

I’ve had Warren on my radar for a long time. She worked hard on consumer protections. I used to mention her as my ideal candidate.

To my fellow Warren supporters- “Never the less, she persisted.”

Yutolia the Laissez-Fairy Pronoun Boner
Yutolia the Laissez-Fairy Pronoun Boner
4 years ago

@Jenora:

(The usual joke about the War of 1812 goes:
– Ask a Canadian about the War of 1812, they’ll say ‘The Americans tried to take over, but we fought them back’.
– Ask an American about the War of 1812, they’ll say ‘The English tried to take away our freedoms, but we fought them back’.
– Ask an Englishman about the War of 1812, they’ll say ‘What war?’)

I’d like to add a bit to this joke

— Ask a Russian about the War of 1812 and they’ll say, ‘Americans weren’t part of that!’ (They also call the major part of the napoleonic wars ‘the War of 1812’, and that is what the overture is about, not the one between the Americans and the British)

Naglfar
Naglfar
4 years ago

@Perry

I will absolutely make a strategic alliance with Joe Rogan for the purposes of electing a candidate with a substantive pro-trans stance and record of fighting for LGBTQ rights.

The whole Bernie-is-pro-LGBTQ seems to be a bit of an exaggeration; I don’t have any record of him being bigoted, but I haven’t seen any evidence that he will actually do anything to help the LGBTQIPA+ community, unlike Warren who has explicitly stated plans. And the whole thing alleges that we are an acceptable sacrifice for everyone else. We do not want to be thrown under the bus.

Ooglyboggles
4 years ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/31/us/politics/latest-democratic-polls.html

https://morningconsult.com/2020/01/31/bernie-sanders-has-a-big-lead-with-lgbtq-voters/

Most surveys of California voters over all now have him in a virtual tie or with an outright lead — and his support among Hispanic voters is foundational to that. A survey conducted for The Los Angeles Times by the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley, found Mr. Sanders with 26 percent support among likely primary voters statewide, putting him ahead of Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, the runner-up, with 20 percent. He had the support of 38 percent of Hispanic voters, including 41 percent of those living in households where Spanish was the dominant language.

https://www.newsweek.com/black-voters-prefer-bernie-sanders-over-all-other-democratic-candidates-new-poll-shows-1489209

comment image

Just gonna nip any of this “but but bernie bros everyone for bernie is all white bois” crap at the bud before I see it happening

That shit erases the lgbt and racial minorities who are a significant reason why he’s currently leading the polls.

And with that out of the way I think we can all agree that no matter who we’re voting for we’re all hoping to see Mike Bloomberg get his ass kicked to the curb.

Perry
Perry
4 years ago

@Naglfar

The whole Bernie-is-pro-LGBTQ seems to be a bit of an exaggeration; I don’t have any record of him being bigoted, but I haven’t seen any evidence that he will actually do anything to help the LGBTQIPA+ community, unlike Warren who has explicitly stated plans.

I don’t think that’s totally fair. I would never claim that Bernie makes LGBTQ issues the crux of his campaign, but looking at his policies, as well as his political history of supporting queer people as both a mayor and a congressman, I’d say “Bernie is pro LGBTQ” is a pretty reasonable and measured assessment.

https://berniesanders.com/issues/lgbtq-equality/

I don’t support Warren for other reasons, so I’m not familiar with her LGBTQ platform, but in any case my comment wasn’t meant to try to compare Bernie to her on this issue. I have no doubt she’s also pro-LGBTQ.

And the whole thing alleges that we are an acceptable sacrifice for everyone else. We do not want to be thrown under the bus.

I wasn’t trying to imply that at all, but there are certainly some less socially progressive Bernie supporters out there and I’m sorry if any of them were assholes to you. As a transperson, I’ve never been made to feel like that being part of this campaign, mostly because I don’t see the Joe Rogan endorsement as sacrificing trans rights for everyone else. I see Joe Rogan being brought into our broader movement, which includes trans rights. Bernie’s policies haven’t changed, and when I look at my working class status, my student status, my transness, blackness, etc. all together I don’t feel like I’ve had to sacrifice anything.

Perry
Perry
4 years ago

Lol I haven’t posted a lot on this site so I’m terrible at quoting things still. Sorry bout that.

Ooglyboggles
4 years ago

@Perry
It’s okay this site can sometimes be a bit of a mess. Like not showing my posts for minutes at a time.

Naglfar
Naglfar
4 years ago

@Perry
Fair enough, I can understand how you could feel differently about Bernie. FWIW he’s my second choice, after Warren.
I hadn’t seen the stats on LGBTQ+ and Sanders, so I thank you for bringing that to my attention.

Axecalibur: Middle Name Danger
Axecalibur: Middle Name Danger
4 years ago

@John
Just caught me by surprise is all. Our official white anthem is gross too, just less openly. By the 3rd verse (which nobody knows or sings, tbf), it’s like ‘and all the slaves died too, that was pretty epic’

@Betrayer

Warren would be doing much better right now if she had gone after Biden instead of Sanders, but Warren has yet to attack Biden

How do you believe that to be true? Like, actually, how did that idea come to be one you subscribe to? Warren and Biden have been sniping at each other fairly regularly since the 1st debate. Like, just last week she did a quick rundown of all the other candidates flaws and Sanders came out best in that (Bloomberg: arrogant, billionaire, entitled, corrupt; Biden: lacking conviction; Sanders: good ideas, but ineffective). I’m actually curious how this talking point gets spread around…

It was also disappointing that she chose to use personal attacks to go after Bloomberg when there is so much actual substance there

So, putting aside you rendering his misogyny and history of harassment as personal and lacking substance (which gross, but moving on), what do you want to have happened? All the other candidates agree to leave his ‘personal’ baggage on the table outta the goodness of their hearts and focus of their gazes? Biden or whoever else take that shot instead… for some reason? She just repeats the shit Sanders said, cos ‘substance’?Maybe Sanders just do it himself? I mean, could you imagine fans of Sanders or Warren or any non Bloomberg supporter for that matter having a problem if he opened the debate with ‘harassing and demeaning women is bad, Mike’? Fuck, I’d like him way more if he did

Apparently, Liz giving the guy a Special Beam Cannon on live television wasn’t good enough. I simply have trouble seeing how this wasn’t a no win situation for her

weirwoodtreehugger: chief manatee

All right, now that I have more time.

I don’t believe that Warren staying in the race actually hurts Sanders. It’s no guarantee that more than half of her supporters would go for Sanders, but it is likely that her delegates would if he doesn’t win enough to get the nomination on the first convention ballot.

The faction of Sanders supporters who are pushing for her to drop out and acting like asses to her supporters are not only not helping Sanders, but hurting the whole progressive cause as we do need unity and given that Sanders is the frontrunner, alienating her base is not good.

As an aside, the Berners preaching unity now to try to get Warren out get some serious side eye. Given that his candidacy has brought us back to the bitterness of 2016, it would’ve been way more unifying to coelsce around Warren and Castro in the first place. So, given that the Sanders fan base has let the bully faction go unchecked for literally years now, demanding fealty for the sake of unity now isn’t a good look.

Anyway, back to the convention. It’s actually crucial to the left agenda that we fight corruption. It’s always been the reason we don’t have universal healthcare, living wages and free or affordable college. Elizabeth Warren is the only one with a detailed plan and the only one who gets that if the Democratic nominee wins, they have to hold the Trump administration accountable. If she uses her delegates as leverage to get her anti-corruption plan on the platform, it can only help the movement.

So, there’s the more detailed reason beyond just the sexism that I really need Sanders supporters to stop asking Warren to step aside.

Also, anyone is really on the left should not be dismissive of the anger and disappointment a lot of us feel that a field that started off so diverse has become ever more white and male. Even if you’re supporting a white male, be understanding of how important representation is. If you can grasp it for Star Wars and Doctor Who, you can grasp it for a presidential race.

Ooglyboggles
4 years ago

Let’s not forget Andrew Yang Asian American was a Silicon Valley fuck who didn’t pay his staff
https://www.businessinsider.com/andrew-yang-staffers-furious-over-layoffs-chaotic-campaign-culture-2020-2

Or how Kamala Harris a female black prosecutor was perfectly fine with putting the innocent in jail if it was suitable.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2019/12/kamala-was-a-cop-black-people-knew-it-first/

and Miriam Williamson is rife with mystic Woo Bullshit

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/where-does-marianne-williamson-actually-stand-on-vaccines.html

And let’s not forget Tulsi Gabbard not voting to Impeach Donald Trump of all People how great that is.

https://www.politico.com/news/2019/12/20/tulsi-gabbard-lays-low-after-present-impeachment-vote-088266

Would it be much to have a better crop of people? A bit more than this tokenism tier candidacy.