Iran has responded to Trump’s assassination-by-drone of Qasem Soleimani with a barrage of ballistic missiles aimed at two US air bases in Iraq. So I guess Trump has gotten the war he wanted. Fuck.
This tweet offers some insight into the question of just how prepared the administration is for the conflict Trump has triggered.
Open thread. No trolls.
@Lyzzy – also i think you offered to look up pictures of burns, like, actual burns? Please, no.
‘Burn’, as it is being used here, needs no pictures. That isn’t what one would expect from this particular blog, and would have the potential to be triggering to people.
Whelp, the good news is that Iran seems to have “concluded” their military actions for now, and Trump seems to be standing down as well, interpreting this as a “win”. I’m guessing the Trumpanzees will think of this as a win as well. What they are forgetting is that Iran now has no obligation to observe a nuclear deal and will probably quietly push toward developing nuclear capabilities in order to gain a deterrent against further action against them.
So in the end this is rather a loss for everybody involved.
USWeatherExpert is the senior VP of Accuweather. So he’s an expert at taking free info from the US Weather Service and packaging it with some graphics.
@Jesalin
I don’t think that’s going to be enough. Anyone know a burn ward?
@Moggie
Well, at least you’ll get a demonstration of the Dunning-Kruger effect.
@numerobis – Holy shit, that’s awful, even if it isn’t connected to the military situation. This Guardian article doesn’t give any conclusions about the causes – too early to say. It does mention that the plane wasn’t the same type of 737 as the two Max 8 aircraft that crashed in 2018 because of software problems.
@Lyzzy – sorry, I didn’t mean to sound weird by saying “virtual hugs” – it was just an expression meant to offer support, but I can see how it could sound odd or confusing coming from a stranger.
@Rhuu – apologies in advance if I word this badly, but one thing you wrote sounded – I’m not sure how to say this – not mean or discriminatory or anything like that, but potentially anxiety-provoking?
Just the part about how people usually post here. It can be hard to learn the unspoken rules of a place, and the only thing the comments policy says on the frequency of posts is “Don’t post too much or try to make threads all about you.” In other words, I think it’s enough to mention that people usually don’t post here multiple times in a row, without making it sound like multiple-posting is strange or surprising in general.
Eh, maybe I’m just projecting my own anxieties, so take this with a grain of salt. I really like what you write in general – content and style – and your other points here are spot-on.
@Rhuu
Alignment charts are popular these days, though I’m not really sure why. I thought about trying to make one of us vs. manosphere, but most of the boxes would be empty because there’s no real neutral and the entire manosphere is basically “chaotic evil.”
@epitome of incomprehensibility
Fair criticism!
I could have worded my point nicer, and i apologise for that.
@Diego Duarte –
Fingers crossed. Yeah, this wasn’t a good move by any stretch of the imagination but I’ll be happy if it doesn’t escalate into war.
@Rhuu – Oops, I didn’t refresh the page. My last comment refers to the one you wrote at 9:56 AM (according to the site).
@in general: lol at the “let me mansplain this thing” / “I AM A PROFESSOR IN THIS THING” exchange 😛
@LindsayIrene:
John Oliver recently did a substantial bit on AccuWeather:
@Rhuu, thanks for your clarification, it helps me see more clearly
Ok, I got up an hour ago and wrote about 2000 words in response
in my editor which is about 4 pages A4 and I’ll try to post
enough of that before I have to head off untill later
tonight (5/6 hours I guess, could be longer, I’ll drive)
Yes, I try very hard to keep that in mind. I’m just so used to
talk when stressed out that I find it hard to control myself when
the discussion turns too cynical for my taste. I try to probe how
much cynism and risk for me and friends I can accept while still not feeling like one of those chain-smoking super-cynical medical professionals but this leads to misunderstandings that hurt. I have been having this problem a lot in my past and especially in recent years
because I eventually chose to focus on my studies even in 2017
instead of doing what I consider to be the right thing. I was
focused on the fact that my mother was dying and honestly wasn’t
as shocked to see that not only where other transgirls on twitter
begging for medicine to save their lives on twitter but my
queerer friends started dying at an alarming rate. Everyone wants
to be helpful and those willing to sacrifice themselves are
allowed to do so even though none of their friends wants them
to. I should have shared my concerns and said something sooner.
Yeah. That must be pure stress for everyone else. Sorry. For me
it seems to be some sort of psychological treatment. Talking
feminism with people who are likeminded but have their own
rulesets helps me dig up my memories. It hurts a lot but that is
way better than sitting around and waiting forever to act.
Absolutely true. I am used to speaking with a fluency that was
lauded as brilliant yet unorthodox. Writing while stressed out
and having a nonstandard keyboard on some devices thus making
mistakes that seem strange is humiliating.
Thus I sometimes go for a clarity that probably comes of as
cynical.
I am doing that. I had been trying this before and it did not help reduce the level of misunderstandings but with all that has happened in regard to my concept of space and time recently, I have decided to give it
another go.
I’ll try, thanks.
Not what I meant at all. I was talking about some half-knowledge
regarding network-protocols and the fact that as an advanced user
you are sometimes blamed for every problem on any layer of the
network when all you want to do is use a computer in your own
way. Think of it like that: You can disable parental
controls (that is was kids do), fiddle with your network or even
get a vpn subscription in order to research better — less issues
with a bubble commercialy co-designed by yourself and full of
blinking advertisements and with less stress. I am doing that. I
am not one of those technicians who feel so sure about the
consequences of this trickery that having an internal factor for
acceptable damage to the lifes of migrants / kids / addicts /
civilians /…. by allowing other, more dangerous data to flow freely
and covertly is the logical step to take. Discussing this level
of mastery with such people shocks me and it is clearly not what I
aspire to do, while at the same time, I do not want to use an
as-is-internet-connection where I do not get to post or read
anything because the fact that people are talking about the
apocalypse in a setting with flashing advertisements and strange
rules enforced algorithmically on platforms designed for a mass
market is stressing me out. I get stressed out by disagreement
and I still have some issues with flashing ligths and similar
thanks to those things being distracting and dangerous as a
teacher and as a medical technician. I would like to talk about
the apocalypse in a calm and orderly manner, the speed of twitter
and the tone of everyone around me stresses me out so far that I
just want to close my laptop and shut up. Yet the best I can come
up with at the moment without having a proper email account or my
own site is writing long and/or stressfull paragraphs.
So I use my own setup on my laptop and a comercial vpn solution
that isn’t much of an obstacle to serious investigation by police
or similar while allowing me to feel a bit safer on the
internet. It’s a devils bargin nonetheless and I know that a lot
of people use way more advanced cryptography than that. I hope
they know what they are doing.
I am very thankfull for you folks helping me see past the limits
I imposed on myself in order to study more. It was the wrong
thing to do. I would like to help you out and I like to talk
about violence, technology&science, psychotrauma and education as
well as medicine as far as those things concern me. You seem to
be nice people to talk to regarding those issues and I think I
can still stay profesionally true to being a student and a
medical technician who has studied computers.
Great.
You don’t need to tell me me about that. I lost more than two hours of time because someone thought it a good idea to communicate via facebook what could have been just as easily been word-of-mouth or a
phone-call. She is one of my friends and I only gave her a stern warning. Other people are way worse. My personal problem with technology is that it allows other people to stress me very effectively.
The real problem is that can also hurt vulnerable people on a great scale.
Every technical solution has it’s market and focus group and can
be some kind of optimum for them….
I am very computer-sceptical, even though they where one of the
coolest toys when I was a kid so I would very much like to read
about this.
I’ve skimmed that thread and it thought me little new. It’s twitter and is not very userfriendly to me.
Yeah, cool stuff. Should be made safe and secure and cheap. In a capitalist system this means finding a market. A problem is that a lot of people like to use and abuse such technology without needing to do either because it is comfortable to them. Think of google glasses and how some hipster assholes who did not care for the privacy of others ruined a thing that autistic kids could have used. Happens all the time. I know a bit bout this stuff because my mother was an advocate for the rights of disabled people. We often fought even though we should have been on the same team. *sigh*
Yeah, that is why I advocate against a market model for medical devices. Medicine for the poor, unfit or misfits is one of the things that
are very likely to go away the further we move towards war. It
always has been…
You got that wrong. Sorry.
Yeah, it’s close, but it’s not what I wanted to say. I wanted to say that
both models have their pros and cons. If I think of humanity and
if I reflect back on my life, I am happy not to contribute to
overpopulation. At the same time women having kids is a perfectly
fine thing. They should be able to make that decission for
themselves without being forced.
Of course when I talk about the pros of being infertile after so many times when I nearly cried when holding a baby or talking about procreation with cis women and having to hold my tongue when it was about kids, I sound sour. There are other medical technicians who are better at dealing with expecting moms. I live this to them. The kids still seem to like me.
Yes. I advocate for that choice but my personal statement is that I embrace non-procreation. Gender minorities should be able to work together in this regard.
It’s what I do, I try not to get too preachy about it because it hurts feelings. I just want to live a bit greener and I am sick and tired of
having to make excuses for my existence when talking to feminsts or reading their books.
I think that this is a valid and perfectly fine way to life. More
feminism generally means more choice for people who can have
kids. This leads to society slowly and gently shrinking. Much
better than nuclear war.
New kids help stabilize famililies and bring change to the
world. Also a fine model. I am cool with this if the people
bringing kids into the world are not coerced to do so.
Yet there are religious arguments against condoms and a lot of
people feel that they enable the wrong people, for example promiscuitive people who do not care about the quality of their blood even though it is a ressource that could save lifes in a war. Also sex workers…..and so on. I guess you can figure out the rest.
I agree 100%. I find it sad that they are an option for the priviledged and a coercive measure towards the marginalized poor. That did not change much either.
I wanted to talk about my feelings because it was a topic I want to know more about. As you can see they require a lot of text and generate a lot of stress. I hope I can become more calm in the next days.
* Ok, I’ll now drink some tea to calm down then head off. Feel free to moderate stuff that is problematic.
@Rhuu – I didn’t see your post before I posted again, but yes, no worries!
@weirwoodtreehugger:
I disagree. They’ve learned exactly what they can get away with, and they’ve learned that they can treat ‘When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross’ as instructions rather than a warning.
@Jenora Feuer
Unfortunately, that seems to be exactly what’s happening.
Sorry to be posting here again. I’m not much qualified to write about American politics amd here in Spain the Iran thing is obscured by more urgent national concerns. But the study quoted by Moggie made me react.
I know two Iranians, both excellent people. One is not religious, the other one is a staunch Muslim. But even the staunch Muslim, I can’t imagine him referring to others as “less than human” or “cockroaches”.
Also, that argument that “they are guilty for not overthrowing the ayatollah regime”. That majority of Americans referred to in the study should begin to get used to the idea that they don’t own the world. That the rest of the world has absolutely no duty to cater to “American interests”. By saying which I’m not defending the ayatollah regime.
I hope the Americans participating in this blog don’t get upset over this I’ve written. It’s not about you.
Finally, and because some called the Iranians “fanatics”: I think that being a patriot is a very dangerous form of fanatism, and that it’s only considered a virtue because it’s functional in maintaining the power structures as they are.
@Jenora Feuer
Well now, that’s a rather dark and morbid take on this whole scenario, that is unfortunately very likely to be true.
I do hope though that they will have a harder time recruiting Gen-Z kids than they did us. I incidentally moved to Texas in July of 2001, where I went to high school. I still remember how recruiters would come all the time to talk kids into serving in the military. They even had a permanent booth at the cafeteria for people who wanted to enlist. Needless to say that felt rather odd to me, as a foreigner.
I should also confess that I tried to sign up, lured in by the promise of free college and given that, after my parents divorce, I didn’t have the guarantee I would be able to attend. Fortunately, the lady who called me back said I couldn’t enlist because I wasn’t a citizen. I dodged the proverbial and literal bullet.
On the other hand, with the rampant levels of income inequality, poor prospects for the future, environment and economy wise, lack of affordable healthcare and education, among others; I imagine plenty of high school aged kids will be willing to put up with another war, just for a chance to climb out of poverty.
I NEED MOAR SCREENSHOTS OF MR EXPERT
WHAR MOAR SCREENSHOTS????
Seriously, though, I’m very curious about what they were talking about before that prompted Mr Expert to say that they should spend time in the classroom. Honestly, that’s just as funny when that guy said,
If anyone can find even more screenshots of Mr Expert’s weather discussion with Dr. Gill I will love you forever.
I mean love you even more forever.
Also, @Moggie:
yeah, I thought seriously about not talking about my expertise in trans* & intersex D/SV in that thread with Sapphire, but it would have just killed me to hear Sapphire (or anyone really) jump in and tell me that I don’t know anything about integrating previously segregated anti-violence services and it can’t possibly be easy, because it just can’t.
I just didn’t have the spoons or even the evens to fucking survive that, so I put up my pre-emptive wall of “Yes, I actually am the expert.” I knew it would sound bad, but I ultimately decided my psyche just needed the armor. I would probably cringe so hard I’d break my cheekbones if I ever re-read that in the future, but what are you gonna do?
@Diego Duarte
I don’t think I’m considered Gen Z, but I’m probably not far from the cutoff in terms of age. From what I know, I’m pretty sure those kids will be harder to recruit for a few reasons:
1. Donald Trump is very unpopular among younger people, and consequently joining a military to fight his wars will not seem like a good idea
2. The Internet means that information travels faster, meaning people will be less likely to be persuaded by the same recruitment tactics
3. They’re predominantly left-leaning
4. They’re angry at older generations re: climate change and fucking up world politics so they’re likely not going to want to fight for those generations or listen to older recruiters
@Crip Dyke
Here you go:
https://twitter.com/USWeatherExpert/status/1214926171927957505
He apparently also fancies himself an expert on aviation:
https://twitter.com/USWeatherExpert/status/1214757739731267586
((Sneaks up to where Lyzzy is sitting and slides a Welcome Package in front of them.))
Here. Used to be that new commentators got one of these to help them fit into the culture here better faster. It’s not been updated in, like, forever, but it should still give you a decent idea on how and why certain things are done here. Also still has some good links in, I think. (Haven’t checked those in a while. :/ )
Hopefully this helps you fit in better, faster.
That reminds me, I need to delete the Accuweather app off my phone. Every one of Smith’s tweets makes me lose ever more faith in it.
@Redsilkphoenix
It could also be helpful to give a link to the comments policy.
It would be great if someone could update it, but I don’t think Cloudiah is still maintaining her blog Artistry for Feminism and Kittens that hosts it.
Maybe someone could create a new one based off of the old one?
@Ucalegont
That is correct. The American way of life won’t suit everyone.
Have I said thank you yet, Maglfar?
Bcuz thank you.
@Crip Dyke
There were also some pretty funny responses to those tweets. Notably this one to the aviation one:
https://twitter.com/GerryCrute/status/1214837500621082624
Most of his timeline isn’t quite as entertaining. Lots of retweeting weather maps and cloud pictures.
He also retweeted Ricky Gervais, so it seems he’s likely a transphobe. Not really surprised, but I bet if anyone called him out on it he’d have some mansplanation/cissplanation.
@Crip Dyke:
There’s absolutely nothing wrong with letting people know your credentials when they’re relevant to the discussion. But Mr Weathersplainer is, figuratively speaking, walking around in a hat with “EXPERT” picked out in flashing LEDs. People are going to assume he’s over-compensating.
@Crip Dyke
Just realized he has a blog.
It’s not as into the mansplaining the way his Twitter feed is, but he still proves to have some…interesting takes on Carter Page, climate change (he appears to believe it’s real but not actually all that bad and thinks there’s a conspiracy to make it look worse), solar power (he cites a Quillette article), more climate change (half his blog seems to consist of screenshots of tweets he likes), and corporations he likes.
And that’s just in the last month.
So, not quite as entertaining as his Twitter mansplanations, but very demonstrative of the risks of the Dunning-Kruger effect.