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The Coming Single Mom Crime Apocalypse: Not Really a Thing

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Manosphere misogynists love fantasizing about a coming apocalypse, invariably caused by the bad behavior of feminists and/or women in general, and invariably resulting in feminists and/or women in general lost and forlorn and realizing their mistakes, returning to men begging for help and asking for forgiveness. Like Doomsday Preppers waiting for the planet to suddenly shift on its axis due to the sudden reversal of the magnetic poles, most of the apocalyptic misogynists don’t seem to have the faintest idea of what they’re talking about.

Take, for example, one Paul Elam of A Voice for Men, who transformed himself into an environmentalist last week when he realized it would give him an excuse to rant about the evils of women  spending money. Turns out that the “conventional wisdom” his thesis depends on — that women are responsible for 80% of spending — is essentially an urban legend, and that men and women seem to spend roughly the same amounts. Similarly, there’s evidence that suggests men and women in developed countries have similar “carbon footprints,” with men if anything a bit more pollutey.

But of course this is hardly the only bit of apocalyptic misogynistic fantasy that, upon examination, turns out to be based on patent nonsense. Manosphere misogynists – particularly those on the racist right – love to complain about the evils of single motherhood, especially in the “ghettoes,” which they imagine will lead to crime rates spiraling out of control, riots, dogs and cats living together, and any number of other apocalyptic scenarios.

As one commenter on Dalrock’s manosphereian blog put it, providing a pithy summary of the coming single-mom apocalypse:

Single mothers bring the very wellfare state they depend on closer to the brink of colapse with every illegitimate child they pop out, who will most likely in turn create more bastards and be more likely to commit crimes thus placing an ever increasing strain on the state’s purse stings. …

[T]hings will collapse soon enough and then it will be everyone for themselves. No more suckling at the government’s saggy dried up teet.

Of course, manospherians are hardly the only ones who like to blame single moms for everything. You may recall that odd moment in the presidential debates when Mitt Romney responded to a question about gun violence with “gosh to tell our kids that before they have babies, they ought to think about getting married to someone, that’s a great idea.”

There’s just one tiny problem with the whole single-motherhood-means-higher-crime-rates argument: if you look at the history of the past twenty years or so you will find that while single motherhood has been on the increase, violent crime rates have been going down, down, down. Take a look at this chart, which I have borrowed from an excellent post on The Atlantic by University of Maryland sociologist Philip Cohen.

 

cohen_singlemomchart2-thumb-615x590-106252

Huh. First single motherhood and crime rise together, then crime plummets while single motherhood continues to rise. It’s almost as if the two social trends have no correlation with each other at all.

As Cohen writes:

Violent crime has fallen through the floor (or at least back to the rates of the 1970s) relative to the bad old days. And this is true not just for homicide but also for rape and other assaults. At the same time, the decline of marriage has continued apace. Looking at two aggregate trends is never enough to tell a whole story of social change, of course. However, if two trends going together doesn’t prove a causal relationship, the opposite is not quite as true. If two trends do not go together, the theory that one causes the other has a steeper hill to climb. In the case of family breakdown driving crime rates, I don’t think the story will make it anymore.

Once upon a time, when both single motherhood and crime rates were moving upwards, you couldn’t entirely blame some social critics for suggesting there might be some connection. But with twenty more years of data we can see clearly that this just isn’t so. At this point, anyone predicting a single mother crime apocalypse  is either a) an ideologue, b) ignorant about the facts or c) both.

In the case of the apocalyptic manosphere ranters, it’s obviously c.

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hellkell
hellkell
12 years ago

Men do have an equal choice, dipshit.

And you seem to be laboring under the assumption that babies, like shit, “just happen” and that people don’t use their damn words and talk to one another. Maybe that’s because you MRa types have a totally stunted view of what relationships look like.

Why any woman would waste time and energy trapping one of you dipshits is beyond me.

The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
12 years ago

I just want men to have an equal choice in reproductive control.

You do, fuckwit, as has been pointed out several times already. And here’s another idea (you know what they are, right?) – PiV is not the only form of sex available. There are ways to share pleasure with No Risk At All of pregnancy.

Ithiliana
Ithiliana
12 years ago

What planet is this strange alien troll from?

On this planet, in the United States, pregnant women being murdered sorta puts the kibosh on the “bitchez controlling all teh menz bullfantasy you have going there.

A study published in the March 2005 edition of the American Journal of Public Health found that homicide was a leading cause of death among pregnant women in the United States between 1991 and 1999. Data taken from the Pregnancy Mortality Surveillance System at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found that the pregnancy-associated homicide ratio was 1.7 per 100,000 live births.

A 2001 study published by the Journal of the American Medical Association said 20 percent of Maryland women who died during pregnancy were murdered. Researchers found the same trend in New York from 1987-1991 and in the Chicago area from 1986-1989. According to the CDC, approximately 324,000 pregnant women are hurt by an intimate partner or former partner each year.

Experts say that while pregnant women are more commonly targeted by men — particularly spouses, boyfriends or exes — they also need to be wary of other women. Each has very different reasons for targeting expectant mothers.

Men who kill pregnant women are most likely romantically involved with their victims and see the pregnancy and unborn child as obstacles and burdens in their lives. They may not want a child, may want to pursue an extramarital affair or may want to keep an affair secret.

cloudiah
12 years ago

For everyone who missed rty23’s first comment, here ’tis:

What you say may be so but there is no denying that feminists are trying to stop the development of new male contraceptives. When men have equal leverage over their own reproductive systems via side effect free and reversible sterilization, a huge power shift towards men will happen and feminism will run into a brick wall. Men, not women will have the final say in terms of when women have children.

He’s provided no proof of his arguments, nor has he responded to any of the reasoned critiques we’ve provided.

LET THE MOCKERY INCREASE!

Ithiliana
Ithiliana
12 years ago

Cliches, such cliches.

You don’t want to get anybody pregnant, 23trollz?

Don’t have sex, fartface.

Or, get a vasectomy.

And I would bet real money you cannot offer one single citation that feminists oppose male birth control.

Don’t assume all women want children (am 57, decided at age 16 that I didn’t want to have kids, or get married, and never did).

Or that men don’t–lots of men want children.

The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
12 years ago
emilygoddess
emilygoddess
12 years ago

there is no denying that feminists are trying to stop the development of new male contraceptives

LOL. Yeah, feminists love the fact that the job of preventing pregnancy is placed squarely on the shoulders of women, and that we are expected to flood our bodies with side-effect-laden hormones to do so. You caught us: all the books and blog posts and articles about how male BC is a feminist issue were just false flags to cover up our true goals.

(That was the comment that kept getting eaten. I see you are now shifting the goalposts by claiming that all you want is a level playing field, but you still have yet to demonstrate that it’s feminists, specifically, who are opposed to male BC)

emilygoddess
emilygoddess
12 years ago

(David, if my previous attempts to post that comment are in the spam filter, please feel free to delete them. We don’t need to see it four times, and I’m sorry for clogging the filter…)

rty23
rty23
12 years ago

But men are being discriminated against at jobs and throughout our educational systems. It’s happening so that girls can advance. Cassandra, as the Nobel Laureate of the group, what do you have to say about this?

Ithiliana
Ithiliana
12 years ago

But men are being discriminated against at jobs and throughout our educational systems.

Citation fucking needed.

hellkell
hellkell
12 years ago

But men are being discriminated against at jobs and throughout our educational systems. It’s happening so that girls can advance.

THEN STEP IT UP, SPARKY. Bring an A game and stop fucking whining.

But first, please give a citation for this claim, lest I am forced to think it another nugget of assdata.

rty23
rty23
12 years ago

Check out the numbers of women graduating from college as opposed to men.

CassandraSays
CassandraSays
12 years ago

Ah, the game of the dancing goalposts begins.

(Whenever trolls start calling me out by name I always suspect the return of Mr Al.)

The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
12 years ago

Holy Ceiling Cat, this one’s so fucking stupid it’s giving me a headache. Is there any misogynist bullshit it hasn’t swallowed?

thebewilderness
thebewilderness
12 years ago

We are not going to dumb down the educational system so men can succeed. That would be stupid.
I get that the troll is pissed that he can’t prevent women from or force women to have abortions or use the pill or whatever so that he can control them. I get that he is so stupid he thinks there is no mens birth control and it is the evol feminists that control the R&D of big pharma.
That makes him a stupid abusive asshat instead of a garden variety asshat..

rty23
rty23
12 years ago

Why is am I stupid? What did I ask or say that was stupid? Discrimination and forced equality are in my imagination?

rty23
rty23
12 years ago

So then can I put you on the record as saying that women’s intelligence is superior to men’s?

Ithiliana
Ithiliana
12 years ago

You know, it takes more than regurgitating MRA talking points as “facts” when you’re not at the sites that spew out the misogynistic mess.

You actually have to be able to provide some evidence to support the claims.

And while I would believe that boys and men of color are discriminated against in education and employment (in part, because I’ve seen the proof), white dudes? SO NOT!

See? Like this

hellkell
hellkell
12 years ago

Check out the numbers of women graduating from college as opposed to men.

Hey shitlips, maybe you haven’t heard, but the one who advances the claim provides the data to back it up. This is some 101 stuff a totally smart guy like you should know.

The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
12 years ago

And he seems to think* men aren’t the vast majority in positions of power, be they political, corporate, academic, military, you name it, or that any affirmative action that does help women does not favour “unqualified woman” over “qualified man,” or that women have been systematically kept from any access to education for centuries and still face systemic discrimination in male-dominated fields (which are, not coincidentally, the most prestigious and best-paid ones).

*I use the term loosely

cloudiah
12 years ago

Why is am I stupid? What did I ask or say that was stupid? Discrimination and forced equality are in my imagination?

You is are stupid because you don’t support your arguments or refute our arguments. Discrimination and forced equality (what is that I don’t even) are in your imagination.

hellkell
hellkell
12 years ago

So then can I put you on the record as saying that women’s intelligence is superior to men’s?

In general, no. But every woman here is smarter than you. THAT you can put on whatever record you like.

The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
The Kittehs' Unpaid Help
12 years ago

What did I ask or say that was stupid?

Everything you’ve said here, so far. Not one intelligent comment yet.

MorkaisChosen
MorkaisChosen
12 years ago

Sorry, are you using more men going to college than women as evidence that men are being discriminated against?

Hahahahahaaaaaaahahaahhahahahahhahaaaaaaaa *snrk* hahahahahahahahaaaa NO. That is not right at all. I may throw an example at you shortly.

cloudiah
12 years ago

My (lady) cats are smarter than rty23.

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