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Dating by the Numbers: Why “hacking” OkCupid is a waste of everyone’s time

This data point is an outlier.

This data point is an outlier.

Is there no problem out there that can’t be solved by SCIENCE? Apparently not. Indeed, it has recently come to my attention that one heroic nerdy dude actually used MATH to get a girlfriend. No really, an actual girlfriend. As in, a living human female that he’s seen naked. (We can only presume.)

Wired magazine found the story so astonishing that they devoted an entire 3000 word feature to it.

The piece tells the tale of Chris McKinlay, then a grad student in mathematics at UCLA, who went searching for love on OKCupid, a dating site that uses daters’ answers to various questions, ranging from silly to profound, in order to calculate a “match score” that supposedly measures your compatibility with a potential date. But McKinlay wasn’t getting as many dates as he wanted.

So he decided to “reverse-engineer” OkCupid. As McKinlay — ever the romantic — explains on his own blog, he used his mathematical skillz to analyze the “high-dimensional user metadata in [the] putatively bipartite social graph structure [of] OkCupid,” and adjust his own profile accordingly.

Basically, he crunched a lot of numbers to figure out how the kinds of women he was most interested in — in particular one data “cluster dominated by women in their mid-twenties who looked like indie types, musicians and artists” — tended to answer questions. And then he fiddled with his own answers — and his choice of which questions to answer — so he would score higher match percentages with them. Ta da! Suddenly he had more matches.

He claims not to have answered any questions dishonestly, but as Wired notes “he  let his computer figure out how much importance to assign each question, using a machine-learning algorithm called adaptive boosting to derive the best weightings.”

It doesn’t take a math degree to figure out that fudging your answers so they’re more like those of the women you’re targeting will make it look like you’re more like them. You can pull this same trick in real life by pretending to agree with everything a person says.

But you don’t have to be a psychologist to see that doing this kind of defeats the purpose of OKCupid’s match algorithms in the first place. You’re creating the illusion of chemistry where there may be none. Essentially, you’re cheating, but in a really self-defeating way.

And by focusing so intently on statistically crunchable data, he also ignored a lot of the more intangible “data” that the profiles provide if you actually sit down to read them. The numbers don’t reveal anything about a person’s verbal charm, or their sense of humor. They don’t tell you about the interesting little details of the person’s life.

As Katie Heaney notes in a Buzzfeed piece on McKinlay’s strange quest:

[M]uch of the language used in the story reflects a weird mathematician-pickup artist-hybrid view of women as mere data points … often quite literally: McKinlay refers to identity markers like ethnicity and religious beliefs as “all that crap”; his “survey data” is organized into a “single, solid gob”; unforeseen traits like tattoos and dog ownership are called “latent variables.” By viewing himself as a developer, and the women on OkCupid as subjects to be organized and “mined,” McKinlay places himself in a perceived greater place of power. Women are accessories he’s entitled to. Pickup artists do this too, calling women “targets” and places where they live and hang out “marketplaces.” It’s a spectrum, to be sure, but McKinlay’s worldview and the PUA worldview are two stops along it. Both seem to regard women as abstract prizes for clever wordplay or, as it may be, skilled coding. Neither seems particularly aware of, or concerned with, what happens after simply getting a woman to say yes.

And that’s where McKinlay’s system seems to have fallen down entirely. Though Wired is eager to present his “hacking” as a great success, it took McKinlay more than 90 dates  — 87 of them first dates with no followup — before he found his current girlfriend.

In other words, his wondrous system produced a metric shit-ton of “false matches” and wasted a lot of people’s time, including his own.

And in the end it wasn’t his data crunching that brought his girlfriend to his door; as Wired notes, she found him on OKCupid after doing a “search for 6-foot guys with blue eyes near UCLA.” Happily for him, McKinlay already matched her preferences in these areas. In addition to appreciating his height and eye color and location in physical space, she apparently was also charmed by his cynical approach to OkCupid dating, so maybe they are a match made in heaven, if not in his data crunching techniques.

While McKinlay was going on first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date after first date, people I know have found wonderfully compatible matches — and long-term relationships — through OkCupid without having to date dozens of duds along the way.

How? Partly because OkCupid’s match algorithms led them to some interesting candidates. But mainly because they read profiles carefully and looked for compatibility in the words, not the numbers.

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Posted on February 7, 2014, in okcupid, PUA and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. 728 Comments.

  1. rotating your pictures?

    Do you mean like actually tilting the photos or changing them up? How does that get better results? Or do you mean camera angle? So many questions…

    I can imagine maybe the algorithm favors profiles that have been updated more recently, so you don’t turn up a bunch of people who haven’t been on for a year? Or maybe it’s so you’ll always look different so if you keep popping up in the same person’s results, it’ll be harder for her to go “Oh, it’s that creep again?”

  2. Nope, the problem must be in women acting in a “outlier” manner from the system by doing stupid meaningless latent variable shit as being actual human beings whose desires matter in a real and fulfilling romantic relationship.

    Clearly, his problem was with thinking there are 7 types of women, when we all know of course there is only one type! (Gag. Also, looking at the Diverse cluster, it seems to be named that way because the women gave diverse answers to the questions. How is that a cluster again…) I’m really curious to hear from those 90 women because 0/90 is an impressive strikeout rate even under the circumstances. I’m sure they’re so glad they got used in a “social experiment” for a book too, and will be happy to find out they were sorted based on their same-sex experiences and willingness for one-night stands.

  3. cerberustheasexual

    katz-

    I can imagine maybe the algorithm favors profiles that have been updated more recently, so you don’t turn up a bunch of people who haven’t been on for a year?

    I guess that’s what Shadow Ninja is trying to make sound all sinister so he can get a false equivalence going.

    Which, yeah, if you haven’t been on in a while and answered questions and so on, you’re not going to be in the top of anyone’s lists. It’s a “problem” that can be “solved” by just signing on regularly when you are actively looking for romantic partners and being active.

    The whole thing is like some Goofus and Gallant thing with Goofus here designing a bad and time-consuming method of solving a problem more easily solved by just getting on his fucking computer and being a real person.

    But I guess that wouldn’t have met the real need he wanted of thinking he was super l33t hacker d00d because he could program a script to make a really complex version of lying on your profile in order to waste everybody’s time.

  4. What bothers me the most is how much time and devotion he spent on this little project of his. Like your PhD dissertation got put on the backburner? seriously?

  5. @delphi, yes we probably do work in a very similar area although I’m applied rather than theoretical. :) I’m not sure that he did any boosting because there was no mention of testing, training, and validating data sets in the breathless Wired piece.

    I’m also curious as to how he picked the clusters he wanted to pursue, and I imagine it was the ones that made his penis happiest when he looked at the photos – because it certainly *wasn’t compatibility based on answer preferences*. Funny how the Wired piece stays clear away from that angle.

    It’s not just that what he did was creepy and unethical, and *purposely contravened the policies of OKCupid* but also that he is now the most salient example of a mathematical/ machine learning / programming geek in people’s heads. Guys I know who work in those areas aren’t like him at all, but he’s just created a negative stereotype for people to laugh at for guys in that group. These are the guys I can be a total geek* around, and I’m accepted for who I am and what I can do, and they’re not fucking scared of/weirded out by me like other subsets of guys. Because female geeks still aren’t really that accepted.

    So what he did *hurts other men*.

    *I might mean nerd. But this was the correct use of geek when I was a teenager.

  6. @Shadow Nirvana

    There has never been this sort of backlash against Amy Webb, who basically did the same thing. Or for that Canadian girl who went on loads of dates just to get free dinners. So what are we looking at here?

    I don’t know or care about those other examples, but how does this constitute a “backlash”? The guy wrote a book called “Optimal Cupid: Mastering the Hidden Logic of OkCupid” and the book is being marketed (I got 200+ women to go out with me and bagged me the fiancée of my dreams – AND SO CAN YOU!) and, gasp, criticized. Someone on Buzzfeed disagreed with the fawning Wired piece. Boo fucking hoo.

    Katie Heaney, the author of the Buzzfeed article wrote a book about her wacky dating adventures. Feel free to criticize that fairly, unfairly or how ever you like. Have at it. People can judge what you say when you publish an advice book. I think his outrage over Buzzfeed is childish, but I get that no one likes criticism and it is pretty amusing that they offered him a job.

    I don’t find what he did particularly wrong or outrageous, even though I think his “hacking” job of OK Cupid is being overblown. It’s a commercial enterprise, not a unquestionable force for good. They charge people $1-2 to “promote” their profile for 15 minutes. I don’t see the problem of people wanting to learn how make their profile more appealing or know how the website’s algorithms work. I also think it’s perfectly reasonable for people to disagree and voice their concerns.

    The guy should be happy for the publicity because this “backlash” is pretty weak and will be forgotten momentarily by everyone but him and over-zealous defenders such as yourself.

  7. Anyone else in love with the cat profile David found, with that amazing street shot of the cat. So debonair and self-assured. *Swoons*

  8. Oh I missed this in the breathless wall of admiration that was the Wired item:

    He retasked his bots to gather another sample: 5,000 women in Los Angeles and San Francisco who’d logged on to OkCupid in the past month. Another pass through K-Modes confirmed that they clustered in a similar way. His statistical sampling had worked.

    So his testing sample “clustered in a similar way” therefore his method “worked”? Actually, it sounds like the method didn’t entirely bloody work.
    – did he still get 7 clusters?
    – how did the distances between the clusters change?
    – how did the question/answer weights change?
    – what was the conclusion that the test sample was “similarly” clustered based on?

    Because if I read this as an article that I was peer reviewing, those are the questions I would be asking. I don’t care that this isn’t in peer reviewed literature, those are basic questions that should have been asked. Journos who don’t know to ask those questions shouldn’t be writing pieces on technical stuff they don’t understand.

    Reading on another site, I found out that the “Dog” cluster is women who have dogs (and not related to his personal opinion on attractiveness). If the most salient feature of one of the bloody clusters simply boils down to a woman owning a dog, I would not anticipate that many of these clusters would be useful in practice.

  9. The most important result of all this math and hackery is that:

    >>>Dating with his computer-endowed profiles was a completely different game. He could ignore messages consisting of bad one-liners. He responded to the ones that showed a sense of humor or displayed something interesting in their bios. Back when he was the pursuer, he’d swapped three to five messages to get a single date. Now he’d send just one reply. “You seem really cool. Want to meet?”

    Basically, it changed his OKCupid usage pattern as if he was an awerage woman (like being able to get up to two dates a day). Sooo creepy.

  10. Brooked:

    I don’t find what he did particularly wrong or outrageous, even though I think his “hacking” job of OK Cupid is being overblown. It’s a commercial enterprise, not a unquestionable force for good. They charge people $1-2 to “promote” their profile for 15 minutes. I don’t see the problem of people wanting to learn how make their profile more appealing or know how the website’s algorithms work. I also think it’s perfectly reasonable for people to disagree and voice their concerns.

    Yes, he didn’t hack OKCupid, he botted it. Against their botting policy. And when his bots were detected, he created a new botting method. He data scraped OKCupid, which OKCupid actively seeks to prevent.

    Imagine you run a dating website. You earn revenue this way, and you know you have to make your site attractive for people to use because profit! So you set up terms and conditions and privacy policies, etc, to make people feel comfortable about using your website. You strongly restrict access to your datasets (e.g. only make them available to your in-house mathematicians/statisticians who use the data to improve matching algorithms so the site continues to be useful to people who use it).

    Then, someone comes along and scrapes information on thousands of your users to make their penis happy. While the users may have taken pains to ensure that their profiles mean they are relatively anonymous, the amount of data scraped for each user now makes at least some of them identifiable on the basis of the way they answered 300 questions. None of the users gave their permission to have their data used in this way, so there is no informed consent to have their OKCupid profiles used. The data on these profiles are stored on a university’s network, which is obviously outside of the OKCupid servers – who has access to this data now?

    Can you see how this is wrong?

  11. Oh, and if anyone’s curious, this isn’t what Amy Webb did at all! Let’s see if I can embed:

    What she did was analyze other women’s good profiles because she was reaaally terrible at making a profile.

    As for “that Canadian girl”: (She’s a woman, not a girl, and she has a name: Erin Wotherspoon.) She’s a foodie who runs a review blog about the food she has on the many dates she’s asked on. She admits flippantly that her aim is to have people pay for her to eat nice dinners. Naturally, she’s been sent death threats for it. A nice thing for her to do? Certainly not. Does the backlash against women doing a bad thing turn a hundred times more intense, violent, and sexual right off the bat? Yeah.

  12. Kiwi girl: thanks you for the detailed explanation of what he did. Really sheds light on how skeezy what he did was.

    Do you teach? I ask because how you explained things made it clear to me, and I understand very little about this stuff.

  13. And of course, the prerequisite whinging that women have it so much easier in the dating field because the get so much attention:

    Basically, it changed his OKCupid usage pattern as if he was an awerage woman (like being able to get up to two dates a day). Sooo creepy.

    Note that the ” awerage” woman can get up to two dates a day!

  14. @hellkell: I’m not employed as a teacher, but I have been training people on various aspects of statistics and statistical interpretations for a number of years. My brain understands things from a practical “why do I want to know this?” angle, so that is how I do my training. I’ve also done some small amounts of remedial teaching to failing first year statistics students. I really believe that most people aren’t stupid, it’s just that they haven’t had [insert statistics method here] explained in a way that makes sense to them, or in a way that’s relevant to them so they can go, aha!

    I’m a very visual learner, so I try to grab very descriptive examples to illustrate points. But I went through a number of years thinking I was very slow at particular things – when it was simply the teaching method that was the problem – so I empathise with people who think they’ll never grip something up.

    tl;dr thanks for the compliment.

  15. @shayla

    I figured his version of Webb and the “Canadian girl” stories were BS.

    When death threats, virulent denouncements and extended hysteria are involved then expressing concern over a backlash is very justified. As far as I can tell the worst thing that happened to this guy is people have called his OK Cupid “hack” creepy and unethical in a perfectly reasonable manner. That’s why I’m bugged by Shadow’s moral outrage over his treatment.

    When people discuss and express criticism over his methods and motives, it’s not a backlash and he’s not a victim.

  16. Here’s a nice graphic about whether a person should google *one* other person, let alone data scrape multiple people’s information, which goes some way to explaining creepiness:

    http://www.thedatereport.com/dating/communication/heres-a-flowchart-to-figure-out-if-you-should-google-that-person/

  17. @Kiwi Girl

    Your analysis and explanations of his methods have been pretty fascinating actually, much better than the Wired puff piece. Thanks!

    However, I stand by my original statements about the cat photo above and will go to the mattresses to defend it.

  18. @Brooked LOL, so long as the mattress is ON THE BEACH (as kitteh pointed out) and your apartment has lawyers and doctors living in it, the cat won’t care.

    I’m so under the paw in my household that one of my cats (the youngest, who still plays up to being “the baby”) has developed a distinctly “no, mummy” meow when I do something he doesn’t approve of at the time. Mr Kiwi finds it hilarious.

  19. 99 out of 99 data points can’t be outliers, by definition.

  20. @vaity: point!

    I just thought of an analogy for the method he used. Say I asked you to go to Toys R Us and group all the toys into at least three groups. But you cannot use “I would like this toy” and “I would not like this toy” in your decision making for your groups. You could use colour, intended age range for the toy, whether it makes a noise or not, whether it needs more than one person to be involved in order to be fun, whether it needs batteries, and so forth. You decide your attributes for the decisions, but can’t be on the basis of “I like”.

    After you sort all the toys, you then go through each group and look at them to see which group contains the toys you would most like. You use the shared attributes in this group to define your toy preference.

    Do you think all the toys you would like, would be in that group? Or would some toys you would like also be in other groups?
    Do you think that the group that you choose would contain all the toys you would like?

    If you know what you prefer in a toy, why would you group them using a method that actually ignored your preferences in toys?

    Do you think I can get a funding grant so that we can try this out for reals?

  21. I’m actually less creeped out by his changing around his answers (though that still seems a helluva lot of work for a trivial, creepy thing) than I am the botting.

    Like, if I were on a dating website, the whole reason I’d talk to people is to get to know them. I’d find the whole fudging answers creepy, but I’d be WAY more upset over finding out dudes were sending me bots. DUDE. Do you give a shit or not? (Well, obviously this guy did, considering the man-hours he put in, but JESUS.) If I wanted to talk to robots, I’d go through another round with the disability folks.

    I would not want to date someone who was just bot-spamming everyone. Spamming and botting is gross and obnoxious. What the hell.

    Also… sleeping on his desk? Putting aside his dissertation? Seriously, all that alone is making me give dude the side-eye.

  22. I am imagining the fallout if a woman had done the same thing (botting OKCupid), had gone on ninety first dates, et cetera, then had it written up in Wired.

    my guess is she’d have to go into the Witness Protection Program due to the death threats.

  23. It seems that he was just trying to get more matches and his algorithm was set up to agree with things he may have had a more neutral feeling about so it didn’t matter to him much. That’s not really the same as lying

    It is as far as I’m concerned. If he didn’t care about a subject I cared about a lot, but said he did because he fancied a date, he’s lying. He’s also a fucking idiot, because odds are the subject will come up in conversation, and his little pretence will fall down.

    This Chris fellow sounds like a Nice Guy who gets put in the Friend Zone a lot. Poor Chris! Fortunately, he managed to hack the esoteric mechanisms by which a Nice Guy can get a date with Women, those strange things from planet Venus. Now far less women will want him in their Friend Zone!

    ::snicker:: He’ll end up in the Permanently Invisible Zone the way he’s going!

    You mean cats aren’t supposed to have standards as long as you act nice at them? What do you think they are, pet animals?

    Shhhh, letting people think they’re just pets is part of their world domination strategy.

    Generally, my reaction to Mr Maths Genius? Contempt. Any chance of OKCupid sueing his ass off?

  24. I think this guy deserves some slack. For me, the only way to find out if you have a connection with someone is to head out and actually talk…in person. He wasn’t getting enough actual dates out of his profile, so he mixed it up and got a lot of dates. He still had to go out and make a real impression, and he presumably accepted (or delivered) the verdict regarding the “one-date only” women with a modicum of grace, so in the end, what’s creepy about this?

    I haven’t read all the comments, so if this has already been shared my apologies, but there’s an old Ted Talk about this:

    Love the site, hope everyone is enjoying the Olympics!

  25. Kitteh — it doesn’t quite work like that, you can’t say how much your answer matters to you (which is really annoying). There’re three parts to each question: your answer, what answers you’d accept, and how important it is that they put one of those answers. So if he doesn’t actually care if, say, she’d date a smoker, but his desired cluster (ugh) is full of people who would, instead of saying that how she answers is irrelevant he’d say that it’s mandatory that she put yes, she’d date a smoker. That make sense?

    To whomever it was who thought the match %s were different for them and you — if you read their explanation of how that’s calculated, they take those two numbers and multiply them to arrive at the %s you see. I’m not 100% sure that method means that you and them see the same number though.

  26. Seeing how I can test that, I just sent a message doing so. I’m been talking to someone on OKC who reads manboobz sometimes so I asked if the numbers are different, we shall see!

  27. Ah, okay, I was thinking of different types of subjects, too, like politics or whatever, apart from not knowing how the questions are framed.

  28. With the percentages being different thing, I thought I had done that with a friend and we had different %, which is why I said it. But my memory is not to be relied upon, so it’s good that you’re testing it properly :)

  29. @ Kiwi Girl

    Not only was your flow chart link useful, it also led me to the show below, which will keep me entertained for a while and will be shared with many friends. So thanks!

    (So NSFW – it’s a show in which random gay dudes try to make straight porn actors come by blowing them. While the actors are standing in a box.)

  30. Anyone else in love with the cat profile David found, with that amazing street shot of the cat. So debonair and self-assured. *Swoons*

    I’d pet that.

  31. rotating your pictures?

    No, no, no, it’s not your pictures you’re supposed to rotate.

  32. My reminder to rotate my African violet actually says “rotate your owl” XD

  33. Should I feel sorry for the owl?

  34. cassandra, just watched that clip (with the sound off, don’t want Mum wandering over to see what it is) – hilarious!

  35. I was starting to worry that I was the only one here who found that kind of thing funny.

  36. I think this guy deserves some slack. For me, the only way to find out if you have a connection with someone is to head out and actually talk…in person. He wasn’t getting enough actual dates out of his profile, so he mixed it up and got a lot of dates.

    You can decide that you’d prefer to go on lots of dates with people you might be less compatible with, and you’re welcome to message women with low match ratings and see what happens.

    But by gaming the system and making it appear that he’s a better match than he really is, this guy is denying the women the chance to make that same decision. From the women’s perspective, it looks like he’s a legitimate good match (and they probably don’t know about his flak-cannon approach, either). So he’s getting a bunch of dates with women, many of whom probably only wanted to invest the time and money of a real date with someone that they thought they were really compatible with.

  37. I haven’t any grounds for comparison but that game/test/whatever was a hoot (not least the commentary). :D

  38. I think this guy deserves some slack.

    No, he doesn’t. And all we’ve done is talk about how skeevy he is, no-one is marching to his house with pitchforks.

    For me, the only way to find out if you have a connection with someone is to head out and actually talk…in person.

    Comment not relevant to using a dating *website*.

    He wasn’t getting enough actual dates out of his profile, so he mixed it up and got a lot of dates.

    Use of OKCupid doesn’t guarantee any number of dates. OKCupid does not owe him dates, and therefore he can do what he likes with their data in order to get some. The women on OKCupid do not owe him dates just because he made a fucking profile on there.

    He still had to go out and make a real impression, and he presumably accepted (or delivered) the verdict regarding the “one-date only” women with a modicum of grace, so in the end, what’s creepy about this?

    *He* misrepresented himself so his profile would get higher up the women’s lists of matches. *He* therefore got dates with people he wasn’t actually that compatible with, on the basis of his misrepresentations. *He* then gave a “verdict” (what a nice word to use in this context) on a mis-matched date which *he* caused to happen by his misrepresentations. In this telling, *he* has all the agency/autonomy.

    *He* also data mined OKCupid’s profiles against their terms and conditions. When he got blocked – and that is what happened to his first lot of bots – he then created “new improved” ones to *get around the blocks*. He used vast quantities of personal information about women in a way that it is not intended to be used.

    What about what those women wanted? What about the fact that a number of them went on a date with someone, and then found out he wasn’t like he said he was in his profile? But I guess, because they’re only women their feelings and time doesn’t count.

    How fucking hard is this to understand?

  39. katz – seconding that. Plus, the idea of someone gaming the system to find some hypothetical Ideal Woman (or womanthing) says he’s not actually interested in women as people, but as trophies, or like he’s going shopping or something. For me, it’s one thing to say there are dealbreakers, reasons you wouldn’t date someone (they’re a smoker, or heavy drinker, or politics, for instance) but that’s not lying about yourself, which this guy was, and it’s not putting everyone into some sort of categories as if they’re data, as has been said many times already.

    Low-grade PoS is all this guy is, in my view.

  40. In order to think that what this guy did was no big deal there are some things you have to believe first.

    1. Women don’t have a right to have preferences (so who cares if this guy actively tried to make sure they couldn’t select based on those preferences)
    2. Women’s time is worthless (so who cares if the women who went on all those failed dates with him might not have done so if he’d presented himself more honestly)
    3. Businesses have no right to try to serve their customers well and make policies based on that principle (so who cares if OK Cupid has policies against botting)
    4. Businesses have no right to try to protect the personal data of their customers (so who cares if this dude or someone like him wants to harvest it, and uses technical means to get around the systems put in place to stop that from happening)
    5. Woman aren’t people, they’re a public resource that companies like OKC are unfairly preventing the actual people (men) from accessing, so we should celebrate those who figure out a way to access the womenresources in the most efficient manner

    There’s more, but really, is it necessary to spell all this out? It’s pretty obvious why this isn’t OK.

  41. He still had to go out and make a real impression, and he presumably accepted (or delivered) the verdict regarding the “one-date only” women with a modicum of grace, so in the end, what’s creepy about this?

    Lying to get a date (or get into someone’s pants?) = lying. As in, lying little shit who doesn’t give a damn about the other person, has no respect for them, and just sees them as a thing for him to choose or reject.

    Why the fuck should he be cut slack? Even leaving aside the way he rorted the system, his treatment of the women involved is wrong.

  42. Ninjaed every so much more eloquently by cassandra.

  43. *ever

    I blame the weather

  44. That Japanese game show, wow. I don’t think they’ll be bringing that one to the US any time soon.

  45. Also, before another whiny misogynist comes in to complain that we don’t care about men – what about the male users whose profiles were downgraded in the compatibility rankings by this guy’s bots? Do we just not care about them because their willingness to accept the rules built into the system makes them too beta, or what?

  46. The statistical thing, which makes me keep doing /headdesk, is that those 7 categories were constructed by the computer algorithm. There was *nothing* in the clustering algorithm that was instructions along the lines of “put all the women I’d prefer in this cluster, and BTW these are the things I prefer in women”. In statistical terms, we would call that weighting the data, so that things with larger weights would be given more priority in deciding the clusters.

    So after he got 7 clusters, he still had to look at them to decide which clusters (2 initially) he preferred. And because the clustering algorithm wasn’t given his preferences, who knows what other women met his preferences but were in the other clusters (lucky break for them).

    Professionally, I use clustering when I have a bunch of data and I don’t know if there are any sensible (i.e. theoretically explainable) groups in there. Surely he knew what types of women he preferred before he did this data scraping and dredging, so why did he use a clustering method? There are statistical methods to use when one knows the group membership, and these will always be more efficient than naive clustering.

    His method wasn’t even intelligent or efficient from a maths/machine learning perspective. I don’t know why people are thinking he did something numerically clever, aside from all the ethics issues.

  47. Dan, maybe you should have read the comments.

  48. Reading this thread has been interesting. For one, it’s abundantly clear that the women here don’t understand how frustrating OKC can be for male users (and moreover, have no interest in understanding).

    From my limited experience on that site, I can completely understand the urge to do something like this, if for no other reason to satisfy some perverse intellectual curiosity. It so often feels like a crapshoot for men, anyway.

    Which isn’t to say I don’t understand the objections that have been raised here. Yes, he’s gaming the system. Yes, in a very indirect sense, he’s denying his dates the right to their preferences. But, you know, give me a break. In the real world, people of both genders engage in analogous behavior all the time. We lie about our pasts, our tastes, our skills. We put up a facade in an attempt to impress people we like, because of course we aren’t good enough.

    It’s not a good thing to do, and it rarely leads to healthy relationship. And granted, there’s an extra layer of manipulativeness in this case, what with the botting and such. But I think calling him a “low-grade PoS” is, well, dumb.

  49. You whine about “frustration” on OKC – ever been stalked? Harassed? Sent rape/death threats?

    Oh, but of course you have with that pretend profile you really truly made yet somehow never show anyone.

    Go fuck yourself with the world’s smallest violin, creeper.

  50. ^^ As I said- no interest in understanding.

  51. Buttboy, shut up. You bring exactly nothing to the table.

  52. We lie about our pasts, our tastes, our skills. We put up a facade in an attempt to impress people we like, because of course we aren’t good enough.

    Stop universalizing what YOU do.

  53. Go fuck yourself with the world’s smallest violin

    You’re cracking me the fuck up over here.

  54. But, you know, here’s a hint: it’s not about “whining” or me trying to portray men as “having it worse” or any of that. It’s just me trying to look at it from his perspective, and how he might not see what he’s done as particularly horrible or manipulative. I don’t think it’s that hard.

    But forget it. I shouldn’t have posted.

  55. For once, you are correct. You shouldn’t have posted. See if you can’t keep that up.

  56. Fuck off, skeeze. You’re just a mealy-mouthed misogynist. We’ve seen your type plenty of times.

    Why the hell should we be interested in seeing something from the perspective of a lying piece of shit who cheats women and cheats a company’s protections of its clients – breaches of privacy, what are they – for a quick date/fuck with someone who he probably isn’t even interested in, and whose right to make her own choices he’s subverted?

    I’m not interested in the perspective of men who treat women as less than human. That’s the only other thing you’ve got right. Your repeated defence of them puts you right into the “thing to be wiped off the shoe” category as well.

    Serrana – it gets better, too, because splinters . :twisted:

  57. We lie about our pasts, our tastes, our skills. We put up a facade in an attempt to impress people we like, because of course we aren’t good enough.

    Who is this “we” you speak of? Because it certainly doesn’t seem to include the subgroup “me”.

  58. RE: Dan

    the only way to find out if you have a connection with someone is to head out and actually talk…in person.

    Then why on earth would you do online dating at all? Why would you do all this elaborate programming and spambotting against OKC policy? Why wouldn’t you just GO TO PEOPLE?

    You’re talking about something completely different than what this dude did.

    RE: buttboy69

    For one, it’s abundantly clear that the women here don’t understand how frustrating OKC can be for male users

    Dude, I’m male. I think this guy is an ass. Don’t pretend you’re spokesman for the male gender.

    In the real world, people of both genders engage in analogous behavior all the time. We lie about our pasts, our tastes, our skills. We put up a facade in an attempt to impress people we like, because of course we aren’t good enough.

    Do you create robots who go out and socialize for you? This guy was spambotting. Also, why would you want to date someone you have to put on a facade for?

    ^^ As I said- no interest in understanding.

    Quoth the kettle.

    It’s just me trying to look at it from his perspective, and how he might not see what he’s done as particularly horrible or manipulative. I don’t think it’s that hard.

    I can look at it from his perspective. He sounds like a sad, lonely man so desperate for a relationship he was willing to ignore his dissertation and sleep on his table to kludge together this stupid program and spambots to get in with a girl. That’s sad, and it’s pathetic, and it doesn’t make excuses for his behavior, which is what you’re doing.

    Again, who died and made YOU spokesman of the male gender?

  59. @Argenti, if you’re still reading this, have a look at the Buzzfeed comments that skeevy guy thinks skewered the Buzzfeed journo (one of David’s links, but here so you don’t have to work out which one: http://www.buzzfeed.com/katieheaney/sorry-guy-math-cant-get-you-a-girlfriend)

    The two main bits of fail for me:

    “That personal likelihood doesn’t change whether she’s one of 10 or one of 50,000.”
    No, but even assuming a 5% chance that any given woman says yes, the probably that at least one out of 50,000 women will say yes is essentially 100%. Rather, 1 – (.05)^50000.

    But this remains true irrespective of whether a clustering algorithm was used or not. The point to the clustering method is to *increase efficiency*. When a mathematical argument boils down to “but if he talked to 50,000 women then he would have close to a 100% chance of a date”, *the number of women is the driver, not the fucking selection method*. There’s no evidence that his clustering method increased the average probability of a woman saying yes. And seriously, did they think he was going to date anything like 50,000 women? And “genius” mathematician thinks this is a skewering argument against the Buzzfeed piece /rolls eyes

    Slight nitpick: the outcome of the flip of a quarter is totally independent of any other flip. That much is true. The example you use of what happens on the 10th flip is not correct, though. What happens the 9 previous throws does matter. Then it’s a simple matter of conditional probability to figure out how likely it will be to get either a heads or tails on the 10th flip.

    No, this is wrong because it requires that a law of small numbers exists. There is no law of small numbers. If this argument were correct, lots of people would win big on games of chance like roulette in casinos (it came up black/odd 9 times in a row, red/even is due now). Runs are common, but it all reverts to the distribution defaults in the long run.

    It’s ironic that the people trying to skewer the Buzzfeed author for her “poor understanding of statistics” came unarmed to a game of wits.

  60. It’s not a good thing to do, and it rarely leads to healthy relationship. And granted, there’s an extra layer of manipulativeness in this case, what with the botting and such. But I think calling him a “low-grade PoS” is, well, dumb.

    Really? Cuz I thought it was a quite restrained and normal reaction to, yanno, that ‘extra layer of manipulativeness’ you glossed right over.

  61. Seriously, this is the first time I’ve seen folks DEFEND spambotting. Truly now, would any of you miss those damn spambot comments? I’d be delighted to see them all freakin’ vanish. Yes, even the entertaining word salad ones about viagra.

  62. I love it when people like Buttboy come here and say we’re not trying to understaaaand these dudes. What they fail to realize is that we understand all too well.

  63. We should feel sorry for the manipulators and abusers because they don’t see their behaviour that way! Whaaaah the poor menz!

    Count me out of the “we” in buttboil’s claims as well. I am not in the habit of lying about myself. If people don’t like me for who I am (and that’s a package deal, Mr K’s included) then that’s their bad luck. I’m not so interested in strangers that I’m going to tell porkies to impress them. Just the opposite, actually.

  64. Really? Cuz I thought it was a quite restrained and normal reaction to, yanno, that ‘extra layer of manipulativeness’ you glossed right over.

    Aww, thanks, Howard. I rarely get called restrained. ;)

  65. I just kinda enjoy, hellkell, how he acts like it’s all women thinking he’s a jerk and the men thinking he’s reasonable. Seriously, do I just not count or something? *sighs, shakes head sadly* You’d think an MRA would care about my opinion…

  66. Kittehs: what’s the backstory of “tell porkies?” I’ve never heard that before, but I love it.

  67. RE: hellkell

    I assume it’s a shortening of old rhyming slang: pork pies = lies.

  68. LBT: you’d think so, right?

  69. Not to mention the totally unsympathetic man who wrote the blog post whose comments he’s whining about.

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